India received above-normal rainfall (105 per cent of long period average or LPA) in July 2025, mildly lower than the India Meteorological Department’s (IMD) forecast (>106 per cent of LPA) for the month, amid the dip seen in the second half of July (0.5% below LPA), compared to July 1-15 (11 per cent above LPA).

According to Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, Director General of the IMD, there will be above-normal rainfall in August-September as well. However, in some parts of Central India like Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra, and Madhya Pradesh, there will be less below-normal rainfall, said Mohapatra.

In these two months, the average rainfall is expected to be 106 per cent and a total of 422.8 mm in India.

Region-wise rainfall in July

As per the IMD’s classification, the region-wise rainfall distribution during the ongoing Monsoon season (till July 31, 2025) has been quite uneven, with excess rainfall in the Northwest (121% of LPA) and Central (123% of LPA) regions, normal rainfall in the South Peninsula (98% of LPA), and deficient rainfall in the East and Northeast region (78% of LPA).

State-wise rain in June-July 2025

As per the ICRA’s August report, Most of the states in Northwest India (UP, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, and J&K) witnessed normal rainfall in June-July 2025, while Delhi and Haryana reported excess rains, and Rajasthan received large excess rainfall. 

Rainfall distribution over Central India was mixed, with states like Odisha, Goa, Maharashtra, and Chhattisgarh receiving normal rains, even as MP and Gujarat saw excess rainfall during this period, Kharif, Arhar, Urad crops.

Aided by favourable monsoon turnout so far, kharif sowing has been completed on 76 per cent of the normal sown area for the season, and is up by a healthy 4 per cent YoY as on July 25, 2025, led by moong, rice, and maize, even as soybean, arhar, and urad trailed in YoY terms. Given these trends, the cumulative kharif sowing in the entire season may exceed last year’s level by a reasonable margin.

“The IMD’s expectation of above-normal rainfall during August-September 2025 augurs well for the continued sowing of kharif crops, and the replenishment of the reservoirs, which in turn will be favourable for rabi sowing. Nevertheless, the spatial and temporal distribution of rainfall remains key, including a timely withdrawal of the rains to allow for well-timed harvesting,” according to an ICRA report.

Classification of rain on a disaggregated basis:
Large Excess (above 160% of LPA)
Excess (120% to 159% of LPA)
Normal (81% to 119% of LPA)
Deficient (41% to 80% of LPA)
Large Deficient (1% to 40% of LPA)
No Rain (0% of LPA)