Anil Singhvi Market Strategy Today: Zee Business Managing Editor Anil Singhvi expects support for the Nifty50 index at 24,450-24,550 levels and a strong buy zone at 24,275-24,375 levels on Tuesday, August 12. For the Nifty Bank, the market wizard expects support at 55,150-55,350 levels and a strong buy zone at 54,900-55,000 levels.
How market guru Anil Singhvi sums up trade setup:
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Global: Neutral
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FII: Positive
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DII: Positive
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F&O: Neutral
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Sentiment: Cautious
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Trend: Neutral
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FII long positions unchanged at 8 per cent as before Monday’s session
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Nifty put-call ratio (PCR) at 1.03 vs 0.72
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Nifty Bank PCR at 0.81 vs 0.80
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Volatility index India VIX up 1.5 per cent at 12.22
The market wizard expects a higher zone at 24,650-24,725 levels and a profit-booking zone at 24,765-24,850 levels for the headline index.
For the banking index, he expects a higher zone at 55,650-55,750 levels and a profit-booking zone at 55,850-56,000 levels.
What market data signals
- Nifty50 has halted a six-day trend of lower highs
- Index has formed a base near 24,350 in three days, with 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) stalling near the 24,590 mark
- Nifty Bank has taken strong support at 100-day moving and exponential moving averages in the 54,900-55,000 zone during this period
- Midcap and smallcap indices hit a two-month low on Monday
- Volatility index India VIX has hit a one-month high
- RIL slumped to a three-month low of Rs 1,361
- HDFC Bank has been holding on to strong support at Rs 1,973 for five sessions in a row
- DIIs have been net purchasers for 26 consecutive sessions–their longest buying spree since March 19
- FIIs’ index futures long positions stand at 8.45 per cent–the lowest since 7.75 per cent in March 2023; these positions have been below 10 per cent for eight straight sessions for the first time since 2012
Global signals
- Nasdaq made a new intraday lifetime high of 21,549 for a third straight session
- US bond yields have risen for the fourth straight day, now at 4.3 per cent
- Silver is at a one-week low
- Gold has fallen by Rs 1,860 from it slifetime high of Rs 1,02,250
- Crude oil is near a two-month low, around $66/barrel
- ICE coffee futures are at a seven-week high
Tariff update
- Deadline for tariffs on China extended by 90 days
- US President Donald Trump has softened his stance on China, his biggest tariff adversary
- The meaning is clear: Tariff disputes with India are more about ego than economics
- If the Russia–Ukraine war stops, tariffs will likely ease
Key Nifty50 and Nifty Bank levels to track
- The first recovery target range for Nifty50 is placed at 24,675-24,850
- Nifty Bank can move to 55,750-55,950 in a recovery
- Bigger targets for Nifty and Nifty Bank stand near 25,000 and 56,500 respectively
- Participants should lighten their positions in a recovery
- A bottom will be confirmed only if Nifty closes above 24,850 and Nifty Bank above 56,000
- Until then, strong supports exist at 24,350 and 54,900 respectively
ANIL SINGHVI MARKET STRATEGY | How to trade Nifty Bank and Nifty50?
For existing long positions:
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Nifty intraday stop loss at 24,450 and closing stop loss at 24,350
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Nifty Bank intraday stop loss at 55,150 and closing stop loss at 55,000
For existing short positions:
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Nifty intraday and closing stop loss at 24,675
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Nifty Bank intraday and closing stop loss at 55,650
For new positions in Nifty50:
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The best range to buy Nifty is 24,350-24,500 with a stop loss at 24,250 for targets of 24,550, 24,600, 24,650, 24,675, 24,725, 24,765 and 24,850
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Aggressive traders can sell Nifty in the 24,675-24,800 range with a strict stop loss at 24,900 for targets of 24,635, 24,600, 24,550, 24,450, 24,375 and 24,350
For new positions in Nifty Bank:
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The best range to buy Nifty Bank is 55,000-55,225 with a stop loss at 54,900 for targets of 55,350, 55,500, 55,625, 55,750, 55,850 and 55,950
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Aggressive traders can sell Nifty Bank in the 55,750-55,950 range with a strict stop loss at 56,100 for targets of 55,650, 55,525, 55,375, 55,225, 55,150 and 55,000
Stocks in F&O ban
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New in ban: PG Electroplast
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Already in ban: PNB Housing Finance, RBL Bank
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Out of ban: None
RESULTS REVIEWS
Astral
- Results highly disappointing on all parameters
- Sell Astral futures for targets of Rs 1,365, Rs 1,350 and Rs 1,330 with a stop loss at Rs 1,405
Titagarh Rail Systems
- Results weak on all fronts
- Sell Titagarh Rail futures for targets of Rs 760, Rs 745 and Rs 735 with a stop loss at Rs 792
STOCKS OF THE DAY
Buy Belrise Industries shares for targets of Rs 137, Rs 140 and Rs 142 with a stop loss at Rs 132
- Results strong on all parameters
Sell Hindalco futures for targets of Rs 660 and Rs 653 with a stop loss at Rs 681
