Anil Singhvi Market Strategy Today: Zee Business Managing Editor Anil Singhvi expects support for the Nifty50 index at 24,450-24,550 levels, followed by a stronger support zone at 24,275-24,365 levels on Friday, August 8. For the Nifty Bank, the market wizard expects support at 55,000-55,200 levels and a stronger support zone at 54,825-54,950 levels.
How market guru Anil Singhvi sums up trade setup:
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Global: Negative
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FII: Negative
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DII: Positive
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F&O: Neutral
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Sentiment: Cautious
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Trend: Neutral
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FII long positions unchanged at 9 per cent as before Thursday’s session
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Nifty put-call ratio (PCR) at 0.95 vs 0.79
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Nifty Bank PCR at 0.89 vs 0.87
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Volatility index India VIX down 2 per cent at 11.68
The market wizard expects a higher zone at 24,635-24,735 levels and a profit-booking zone at 24,765-24,850 levels for the headline index.
For the banking index, he expects a higher zone at 55,650-55,750 levels and a profit-booking zone at 55,850-56,000 levels.
What market data indicates
- FIIs have been net sellers for 14 sessions in a row–their longest outflow spree since March 17
- On Thursday, FII outflows amounted to Rs 4,997 crore
- DIIs have been net buyers for 24 straight sessions–their longest buying streak since June 19
- Thursday’s FII data included a block deal worth Rs 6,131 crore (Eternal and Kotak)
- FII index futures long positions at 8.59 per cent–the lowest since March 2023
- FII index futures long positions are under 10 per cent for six straight sessions for the first time since 2012
- Gold at a new record high of Rs 1,02,155/10 grams or $3,534/ounce
- Silver has risen for six straight days, scaling a two-week high of $39/ounce
- Dollar Index has fallen below 98 to its lowest in two weeks
- US bond yields near a three-month low, at 4.2 per cent
- Crude oil is near a two-month low, at around $66/barrel
Tariffs decoded today
- US President Donald Trump’s hardline stance continues
- No talks until Russian imports stop; India’s stance will be clearer after Friday’s Cabinet meeting
- Support from Brazil and Russia will be positive for India
Is market oversold after Thursday’s recovery?
- No short-covering by FIIs on the weekly F&O expiry day
- FIIs remain oversold with index futures long positions at 8.5 per cent
- Only positive news on tariffs will trigger short-covering now
Can Dalal Street hold Thursday’s lows?
- The market is not out of the woods yet
- It is yet to escape downside risk
- Both Nifty and Nifty Bank made lower highs and lower lows on Thursday
- Strong support exists at these levels
- Nifty must close above 24,675 and Nifty Bank above 55,650
Key levels to watch out for in Nifty50 and Nifty Bank
- Holding yesterday’s lows is now essential
- New weakness will come only if Nifty breaks 24,325 and Bank Nifty breaks 54,950
- Momentum will return if Nifty rises above 24,850 and Bank Nifty above 56,000
- Wait on a slow start; better to buy near the lower end of the range
- In a recovery, take lighter positions near the upper range
- Yesterday’s FII selling included block deal adjustments
- Without the block deal, FIIs were actually net buyers
- Domestic funds also made strong purchases
- This suggests support at lower levels can be expected
ANIL SINGHVI MARKET STRATEGY | How to trade Nifty Bank and Nifty50?
For existing long positions:
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Nifty intraday stop loss at 24,325 and closing stop loss at 24,550
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Nifty Bank intraday stop loss at 54,950 and closing stop loss at 55,350
For existing short positions:
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Nifty intraday stop loss at 24,700 and closing stop loss at 24,800
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Nifty Bank intraday and closing stop loss at 55,750
For new positions in Nifty50:
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The best range to sell Nifty is 24,675-24,825 with a stop loss at 24,950 for targets of 24,635, 24,600, 24,575, 24,550, 24,450 and 24,350
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Aggressive traders can buy Nifty in the 24,350-24,500 range with a strict stop loss at 24,250 for targets of 24,550, 24,600, 24,635, 24,675, 24,725 and 24,765
For new positions in Nifty Bank:
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Aggressive traders can sell Nifty Bank in the 55,750-55,950 range with a strict stop loss at 56,100 for targets of 55,650, 55,550, 55,450, 55,375, 55,225, 55,150 and 55,000
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Aggressive traders can buy Nifty Bank in the 55,000-55,200 range with a strict stop loss at 54,800 for targets of 55,350, 55,425, 55,550, 55,625, 55,750 and 55,850
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